Kamal Ghorui
Kerala will count votes for its 140-member assembly on May 4, with the results expected to determine whether the CPM-led Left Democratic Front (LDF) can retain power for a third consecutive term or if the Congress-led United Democratic Front (UDF) can reclaim the state after a decade in opposition. The election has also drawn attention for the BJP’s attempt to deepen its presence in select constituencies after recent gains in parliamentary and local body polls. While the contest remains largely centred around the LDF and the UDF, several high-profile candidates and politically sensitive constituencies are expected to play a decisive role in shaping the final outcome. From chief minister Pinarayi Vijayan defending the Left’s governance record to Congress leaders attempting a comeback and BJP figures trying to convert incremental gains into victories, the results from a handful of key seats could offer the clearest indication of Kerala’s evolving political landscape.Pinarayi Vijayan – DharmadamChief minister Pinarayi Vijayan remains the LDF’s central figure as he seeks another victory from Dharmadam in Kannur district. The constituency is considered a CPM stronghold, and Vijayan’s performance will be closely watched as a measure of the Left’s hold over north Kerala after two consecutive terms in power.VD Satheesan – ParavurLeader of opposition VD Satheesan is leading the Congress-led UDF campaign from Paravur in Ernakulam district. Seen as the opposition’s principal strategist in this election, Satheesan has focused his campaign on anti-incumbency, corruption allegations and governance issues. His margin in Paravur could reflect the UDF’s overall performance in central Kerala.KK Shailaja – MattannurFormer health minister KK Shailaja remains one of the CPM’s most popular leaders and is contesting from Mattannur in Kannur district. Widely recognised for her handling of the Nipah outbreak and Covid-19 pandemic, Shailaja continues to be a major face of the Left’s welfare and public health narrative.K Surendran – ManjeshwaramBJP state president K Surendran is once again contesting from Manjeshwaram in Kasargod district, a constituency where the party has repeatedly come close to victory. The seat remains politically significant for the BJP because of its proximity to coastal Karnataka and the party’s efforts to consolidate support in north Kerala.Sobha Surendran – PalakkadSenior BJP leader Sobha Surendran is contesting from Palakkad, one of the most closely watched constituencies in the election. The BJP sees Palakkad as a realistic opportunity for an Assembly breakthrough because of its urban-rural mix, growing municipal presence and steady rise in vote share over recent years.Ramesh Pisharody – PalakkadActor and television personality Ramesh Pisharody is the Congress-led UDF candidate in Palakkad. His candidature comes at a time when the constituency has evolved into a triangular contest involving the BJP, Congress and the Left, making it one of the most unpredictable seats in Kerala.MB Rajesh – ThrithalaState minister MB Rajesh is defending Thrithala for the CPM in a constituency that has traditionally witnessed close contests between the LDF and UDF. His performance will be closely watched in Palakkad district, where the BJP is also attempting to expand its influence.K K Rema – VadakaraRevolutionary Marxist Party leader KK Rema, backed by the UDF, remains one of Kerala’s most closely watched opposition figures. Contesting from Vadakara, Rema continues to command political attention because of her outspoken criticism of the CPM and her strong support base in north Kerala.
